In her article published in nature last
week, Georgina Mace - president of the British Ecological Society and professor
at and director of the Centre for Biodiversity and Ecosystems here at UCL –
argues that a fresh approach to ecology is needed if we are going to tackle the
global environmental challenges that the world faces today. She says that
climate change and the loss of biodiversity and ecosystem services demand a new
kind ecology, a kind that focuses on how whole communities interact with people
and the physical environment at the landscape level.
Advances in ecology in the past century
have hugely improved our understanding of species interactions, population
dynamics, food-web dynamics and how organisms adapt to their local
environments. For example, Schmitz and Barton (2013) reported that climate
change might alter abiotic conditions such as temperature and precipitation,
which in turn could alter the life-cycle timing of predator and prey species
and the nature of their interactions. However, there are few general theories
for how multiple species respond to factors such as disease or changing climate
at the community level and Georgina Mace considers this to be a major problem
for global-change science.
In the article, Georgina talks specifically
about the need to integrate ecological processes into models simulating Earth
systems. In their current state, Earth systems models are unable to account for
ecological processes such as feedbacks and thresholds due to a lack of
long-term ecological studies. This limits the validity of such models
considerably and so impairs our understanding of how biodiversity will respond
to climate change in the future. Drew Purves and colleagues argue that
analogous general ecosystem models (GEMs) could radically improve our
understanding of the biosphere and could inform policy decisions about
biodiversity and conservation. Considering how valuable and effective general circulation models have been in improving understanding of how the climate system works, to me it seems absolutely essential that analogous GEMs are developed.
Finally, Georgina emphasises the need for
data sharing and collaboration, and a greater focus on meta-analyses and
synthesis. These approaches are fundamental for the identification of general
trends, such as the effect of temperature change on animal dispersal.
Innovations in citizen-science such as the monitoring of ash-dieback in Europe
may be the key to unlocking this new kind of ecology. In my next post I want to
explore and review the role that citizen-science is playing in scientific
research and really get to grips with this latest trend!
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